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Do We Really Want to Solve Fermi’s Paradox? with Stephen Webb
Do We Really Want to Solve Fermi’s Paradox? with Stephen Webb
Do We Really Want to Solve Fermi’s Paradox? with Stephen Webb
Fermi paradox [1]
The Fermi paradox is the discrepancy between the lack of conclusive evidence of advanced extraterrestrial life and the apparently high likelihood of its existence.[1][2] As a 2015 article put it, “If life is so easy, someone from somewhere must have come calling by now.”[3]. Italian-American physicist Enrico Fermi’s name is associated with the paradox because of a casual conversation in the summer of 1950 with fellow physicists Edward Teller, Herbert York, and Emil Konopinski
The conversation moved on to other topics, until during lunch Fermi blurted out, “But where is everybody?” (although the exact quote is uncertain).[3][4]. There have been many attempts to resolve the Fermi paradox,[5][6] such as suggesting that intelligent extraterrestrial beings are extremely rare, that the lifetime of such civilizations is short, or that they exist but (for various reasons) humans see no evidence.
– There are billions of stars in the Milky Way similar to the Sun.[7][8]. – With high probability, some of these stars have Earth-like planets in a circumstellar habitable zone.[9]
Spacecraft propulsion [2]
Propulsion means to add speed or acceleration to an object, by an engine or other similar device. The word ‘propulsion’ can be used with many other words (such as jet, rocket, spacecraft) to become-‘jet propulsion’, ‘rocket propulsion’, or ‘space craft propulsion’ etc.
Each method has drawbacks and advantages, and spacecraft propulsion is an active area of research. Most spacecraft today are propelled by heating the reaction mass and allowing it to EJECT out from the back/rear of the vehicle
Most satellites have simple reliable chemical rockets (often monopropellant rockets) or resistojet rockets to keep their station, although some use momentum wheels for attitude control. Newer geo-orbiting spacecraft are starting to use electric propulsion for north-south stationkeeping
7 Fermi’s Paradox [3]
One of the strongest arguments against the existence of intelligent civilizations within our own Galaxy is Fermi’s ‘Where is everybody?’—or ‘If they existed they would be here’. Following Webb, this argument is explained and then responses to it are assessed, especially where they begin to impact theological themes such as interstellar expansion, the zoo hypothesis, alien creators, and the Doomsday argument
This all leads to a tentative conclusion—that we are alone as intelligent life within this galaxy. This, however, does not rule out widespread primitive life or intelligent life in other galaxies.
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Commentary [4]
What is Fermi’s Paradox? What could COVID vaccines have anything to do with Fermi’s Paradox? The answer to these questions should give pause to anyone advocating for mandatory COVID vaccination.. Fermi’s Paradox has to do with the likelihood that life exists on other planets.1 In other words, we are not alone
Fermi’s name is attached to the paradox because of the answer he gave to the question: “But where is everybody?”. Fermi’s reasoning was as follows: suppose that life on planet Earth is not unique; there are many stars with many planets; there are so many planets that there should be many examples with life even if life is a rare event; there is nothing special about the Sun and Earth, so many of these examples should be older with more advanced civilizations; there should be so many advanced civilizations who have found Earth and humans that we should not be able to avoid them on a daily basis; we should be either a conquest or a trade hub
There are several classes of answers to Fermi’s Paradox. The simplest class of answer is that life on Earth is unique, so there is no reason to find life elsewhere
The Fermi paradox and Drake equation: Where are all the aliens? [5]
The Fermi paradox and Drake equation: Where are all the aliens?. Step outside on a clear night and gaze up at the night sky
That’s just a tiny fraction of the Milky Way galaxy, which may have between 100 billion to 1 trillion stars. Most of these stars host exoplanets, and we’ve already zeroed in on a few that may be Earth-like.
While SETI includes everything from listening for radio signals to examining odd fluctuations in starlight, theoretical work in the field has been dominated by two key concepts: the Fermi paradox and the Drake equation.. The Fermi paradox ponders why Earth has not been visited by aliens, while the Drake equation tries to estimate the number of intelligent civilizations in our galaxy
Fermi’s paradox [6]
If there is life elsewhere in the universe, why can’t we see signs of it?. A definition of the Fermi Paradox would be helpful.
It was over lunch in 1950, following a conversation about extraterrestrial craft, when scientist Enrico Fermi asked himself this same question. According to Cosmos Magazine, the researcher took a mathematical approach to the issue, which set him apart from his peers.
He first proposed the presence of the neutrino, constructed the first nuclear reactor, and played a crucial role in the Manhattan Project’s creation of the atomic weapon. He received the Nobel Prize and is remembered for arriving at reasonable estimates to challenging problems with limited information and some “back-of-the-envelope” computations.
Beyond “Fermi’s Paradox” XV: What is the Percolation Theory Hypothesis? [7]
Welcome back to our Fermi Paradox series, where we take a look at possible resolutions to Enrico Fermi’s famous question, “Where Is Everybody?” Today, we examine the possibility that Earth hasn’t been visited by aliens because interstellar travel is not very practical!. In 1950, Italian-American physicist Enrico Fermi sat down to lunch with some of his colleagues at the Los Alamos National Laboratory, where he had worked five years prior as part of the Manhattan Project
Into this, Fermi issued a statement that would go down in the annals of history: “Where is everybody?“. This became the basis of the Fermi Paradox, which refers to the disparity between high probability estimates for the existence of extraterrestrial intelligence (ETI) and the apparent lack of evidence
One of the key assumptions behind the Fermi Paradox is that given the abundance of planets and the age of the Universe, an advanced exo-civilization should have colonized a significant portion of our galaxy by now. This is certainly not without merit, considering that within the Milky Way galaxy alone (which is over 13.5 billion years old), there are an estimated 100 to 400 billion stars.
Where is ET? Fermi’s paradox turns 65 « Math Drudge [8]
Sixty five years ago, in 1950, while having lunch with colleagues Edward Teller and Herbert York, who were chatting about a recent cartoon in the New Yorker depicting aliens abducting trash cans in flying saucers, Nobel physicist Enrico Fermi suddenly blurted out, “Where is everybody?” His question is now known as Fermi’s paradox.. Fermi’s line of reasoning was the following: (a) Most likely there are numerous (maybe millions) of other technological civilizations in the Milky Way galaxy alone; (b) if a society is less advanced than us by even a few decades, they would not be technological, so any other technological civilization is, almost certainly, many thousands or millions of years more advanced; (d) within a million years or so (an eye-blink in cosmic time) after becoming technological, a society could have explored or even colonized most of the Milky Way; (e) so why don’t we see evidence of the existence of even a single extraterrestrial civilization?
And a discovery of such life, say by analysis of microwave data, would certainly rank as among the most significant and far-reaching of all scientific developments. For one thing, it would lend credence to the suggestion by some eminent scientists, such as Freeman Dyson, that the universe is primed for intelligent life.
N = number of civilizations in our galaxy that can communicate. R* = average rate of star formation per year in galaxy
Sources
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox
- https://www.cs.mcgill.ca/~rwest/wikispeedia/wpcd/wp/s/Spacecraft_propulsion.htm#:~:text=All%20current%20spacecraft%20use%20chemical,engines%20on%20their%20first%20stage.
- https://academic.oup.com/book/6842/chapter/151030293
- https://pulmonarychronicles.com/index.php/pulmonarychronicles/article/download/833/1833?inline=1
- https://www.planetary.org/articles/fermi-paradox-drake-equation
- https://medium.com/@alinaty/fermis-paradox-a1a7b42d06a4
- https://www.universetoday.com/148088/beyond-fermis-paradox-xv-what-is-the-percolation-theory-hypothesis/
- https://experimentalmath.info/blog/2015/04/where-is-et-fermis-paradox-turns-2015/